Coinbase Expands Prediction Markets with Minute-by-Minute Crypto Contracts

How the New Contracts Work

Coinbase launched short-dated up-or-down contracts for Bitcoin, Ether, and eight other cryptocurrencies on its prediction markets platform on Tuesday. The new offerings allow traders to speculate on price movements within 15-minute and hourly intervals. Kalshi, which already operates similar contracts on its own exchange, lists these products for Coinbase users. The expansion marks Coinbase’s deeper push into derivatives-style trading within regulated frameworks.

Traders can now place bets on whether the price of selected digital assets will rise or fall over very brief periods. Each contract settles based on the asset’s price at expiration, with payouts determined by the outcome. Coinbase integrated these products through its partnership with Kalshi, which provides the underlying market infrastructure. The tokens included span major cryptocurrencies beyond Bitcoin and Ether, though the specific eight were not named in the announcement. This model mirrors existing prediction market mechanics but applies them to ultra-short timeframes in crypto.

Why Coinbase Is Betting on Speed

The move reflects growing demand for tools that let traders react swiftly to market volatility without holding long-term positions. By offering contracts as short as 15 minutes, Coinbase targets active traders seeking immediate exposure to price swings. Kalshi’s existing operation of similar markets suggests proven interest in this format. Regulatory compliance remains central, as these contracts fall under event-based trading rules rather than traditional securities. The launch also diversifies Coinbase’s product suite beyond spot trading and staking services.

Ultra-short contracts heighten exposure to sudden price spikes or manipulation risks due to low liquidity windows. Traders face the challenge of predicting movements in highly volatile assets where news or large orders can shift prices instantly. While Kalshi’s infrastructure aims to ensure fair settlement, the speed of these contracts leaves little room for error. Coinbase has not disclosed safeguards specific to these new products, though it emphasizes that all prediction markets operate under strict oversight. Critics warn that such instruments may encourage speculative behavior akin to gambling.

What Risks Do These Fast Markets Carry?

What cryptocurrencies are included in the new contracts? The contracts cover Bitcoin, Ether, and eight other tokens, though Coinbase did not specify which additional assets are available.

Frequently Asked Questions

How do traders profit from these 15-minute markets? Profit comes from correctly predicting whether an asset’s price will be higher or lower than a set level at the contract’s expiration time.

Are these contracts available to all Coinbase users? Access depends on regional regulations and user eligibility, as prediction markets remain subject to geographic restrictions.